Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.079209 0.088614 0.098223 0.108746 0.119918 0.131397 0.144055
2025-06-01 0.060498 0.074099 0.088709 0.105433 0.123916 0.143598 0.166022
2025-06-08 0.048290 0.064116 0.081863 0.102921 0.126929 0.153180 0.183792
2025-06-15 0.041929 0.059589 0.080104 0.105141 0.134361 0.166929 0.205535
2025-06-22 0.036389 0.055230 0.077857 0.106183 0.139923 0.178152 0.224092
2025-06-29 0.033591 0.053840 0.078821 0.110723 0.149319 0.193587 0.247320
2025-07-06 0.029488 0.050300 0.076760 0.111285 0.153748 0.203070 0.263551
2025-07-13 0.029157 0.051669 0.080813 0.119320 0.167130 0.223059 0.292036
2025-07-20 0.024715 0.046959 0.076702 0.116871 0.167553 0.227556 0.302262
2025-07-27 0.023218 0.046256 0.077730 0.120844 0.175795 0.241342 0.323427
2025-08-03 0.020784 0.043931 0.076399 0.121631 0.179975 0.250170 0.338668
2025-08-10 0.018864 0.042190 0.075723 0.123160 0.185001 0.259974 0.355046
2025-08-17 0.016801 0.040189 0.074788 0.124587 0.190278 0.270585 0.373068
2025-08-24 0.013674 0.036094 0.070633 0.121539 0.189759 0.274079 0.382575
2025-08-31 0.011078 0.032507 0.066938 0.118892 0.189588 0.277886 0.392383
2025-09-07 0.009966 0.031452 0.066949 0.121327 0.196033 0.289946 0.412303
2025-09-14 0.008706 0.029921 0.066104 0.122464 0.200704 0.299745 0.429440
2025-09-21 0.008318 0.030090 0.067919 0.127406 0.210472 0.316030 0.454646
2025-09-28 0.007174 0.028499 0.066795 0.128018 0.214370 0.324827 0.470565
2025-10-05 0.007536 0.030248 0.071185 0.136747 0.229317 0.347811 0.504231
2025-10-12 0.006003 0.027473 0.067920 0.134088 0.228700 0.350799 0.512917
2025-10-19 0.005681 0.027497 0.069349 0.138399 0.237625 0.366084 0.537034
2025-10-26 0.004907 0.026250 0.068514 0.139254 0.241758 0.375168 0.553371